Thursday, March 8, 2012

Blink of an Eye—Part 1


 The March 2012 issue of Scientific American magazine has a fascinating article by Donald Goldsmith, an astronomer who once served as consultant on Carl Sagan’s 1980s Cosmos television series on PBS. In his article titled “The Far, Far Future of Stars,” Goldsmith points out that, while the glorious period of star and galaxy formation in our universe is largely behind us, the universe has a very, very long time yet to go, before it becomes a doddering, failing entity. In fact, this grand cosmos we inhabit is just getting started. It is yet in its infancy, at 13.7 billion years of age, according to the latest scientific understanding. Many exciting events are yet to come, and one of those, Goldsmith says, is that the universe will become increasingly conducive to life, as it ages further.

That, to me, is a remarkable fact, given the rapidly changing understanding in the scientific community, that the presence of life in places other than Earth is far more likely than we previously thought. Humanity has historically tended to believe that, in this entire universe, the solitary location of life has been our tiny planet. We are most special, according to this line of thinking, and are divinely delegated to be the single island of life and consciousness in this immense cosmos.

That self-centered perception is wrong, I believe. We still have a very limited understanding of the universe, and we are finding new facts every day. The more humanity has opened up to another-centered perspective, the more we have come to comprehend the reality of this incredible cosmos. Forms of life recently discovered in unlikely places on our planet are indicating that life can thrive in far more inhospitable locations than we once believed. There is an increasing understanding that life may well exist “out there” somewhere and we will soon prove it to be true.

Returning to Goldsmith’s message: There is a lot more history to come, in our fantastic universe. It is now a little shy of 14 billion years of age. In its very beginning, hydrogen and helium were the only elements existing in the nascent cosmos. The first stars were formed from these gaseous elements (99% hydrogen and 1% helium). When they quickly burned out (over just a few million years), they collapsed and the high internal pressures formed a few heavier elements—such as carbon, nitrogen, and oxygen. As subsequent stars formed over the next few billion years, more and more heavier elements were forged.

Eventually, there were enough heavy elements (maybe then 1% of the total  matter in the universe) that when a star formed, there was enough solid material present to form planets. When our cosmos was about eight billion years old, our sun materialized out of the existing local stardust, with enough solid material left over to form eight planets (nine, if you are old fashioned and wish to include Pluto). It required another five or so billion years to bring about complex life on this planet.

So what is the prognosis for our five billion year-old solar system? In another five billion years our sun will use up most of its nuclear fuel and will swell up to a red giant star. That process will toast the inner four planets, after which the sun will collapse into a white dwarf and slowly recede into oblivion. Any life aboard planet Earth will have long before been incinerated.

Meanwhile, in the rest of the universe, events will slowly, slowly wind down. The emphasis here is slowlyreally slowly. After the Earth will be long gone, the universe will be just coming into its stride. The stars that form after our sun dies will have even more heavy elements and will last much longer than our sun. These cooler stars will harbor many more planets than our current cosmos holds and they will live for far longer—trillions of years, rather than billions. Life will have many more opportunities to arise and flower, in this far distant future. That forthcoming cosmos may be teeming with life.

More on the aging universe next time…

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